publications

Forthcoming. Networks of Violence: Predicting Conflict in Nigeria. The Journal of Politics (with Max Gallop and Shahryar Minhas).

2019. Violent and Nonviolent Resistance in Contexts of Prolonged Crisis: The Civilian Perspective.  Journal of Global Security Studies. (Peer-reviewed forum essay).

2018. Fear of Nonviolent Organizing in Mexico's Criminal Conflict. Journal of Global Security Studies (with Jessica Maves Braithwaite).

2017. Violence, Kinship Networks, and Political Resilience: Evidence from Mexico. Journal of Peace Research. 

2017. When do States Say Uncle? Network Dependence and Sanction Compliance. International Interactions (with Shahryar Minhas).

2016. Irregular Leadership Changes in 2014: Forecasts using ensemble, split-population duration models  International Journal of Forecasting (with Andreas Beger and Michael D. Ward).

2014. Ensemble forecasting of irregular leadership change.  Research & Politics (with Andreas Beger and Michael D. Ward).

2013. Networks, Dyads, and the Social Relations ModelPolitical Science Research and Methods (with Michael Ward).

2013. Anti-Government Networks in Civil Conflicts: How Network Structures Affect Conflictual Behavior.  American Journal of Political Science (with Nils Metternich, Max Gallop, Simon Weschle, & Michael D. Ward).

2013. Learning from the Past and Stepping into the Future: Toward a New Generation of Conflict PredictionInternational Studies Review (with Michael D. Ward,  Nils W. Metternich, Cassy Dorff, Max Gallop, Florian M. Hollenbach, Anna Schultz, and Simon Weschle).

BOOK CHAPTERS

 2017. Latent Networks and Spatial Networks in Politics. The Oxford Handbook of Political Networks (with Shahryar Minhas and Michael Ward).

REPORTS (select)

"Implications of the 2016 Elections for Internet/Digital Security, and Privacy" Published (2016) online for the Sie Center at the University of Denver (here) and available to download (here).

"The Mexican Criminal Conflict: The Government's Response to an Evolving Crisis." Published (2016) online for the Sie Center at the University of Denver (pdf).

"Civilian Opinion and Nonviolent Resistance: Survey Evidence from Mexico." Published (2015) online for the International Center on Nonviolent Conflict (pdf).

Under Review & Unpublished Work

Please email me for information about new projects and papers under review. My current working projects are focused on:

  • civilian agency and victimization during political and criminal conflicts

  • R package: network data for conflict scholars

  • network science

  • violence against civilians and journalists in Mexico using text-as-data methodologies

  • conflict prediction and forecasting